Randy Altschuler’s 2nd Chance (or, Don’t Screw This Up Again Suffolk County)

There’s an interesting development out here on The L.I. and the NY-1. When last we spoke Randy Altschuler (after a ridiculous, unnecessary primary) came within a few percentage points of defeating incumbent Rep. Tim Bishop. He’s back for a rematch this year…and apparently is a handful of races cats are already keeping an eye on.

Politico.com has named it one of a few house districts to watch as a bellwether to see which direction the country is going in 2012. It’s one of the more conservative districts in the state, Bishop isn’t, and Altschuler house to economic background to appeal to more voters who are realizing the Obama might not have been the way to go…

Politico, hardly a shill for the right, recently characterized the rematch as one of the most contestable in the country — a national bellwether. They maintain that an Altschuler victory would signal a shift — namely, that Republicans will have regained the support of key suburbanites lost to President Obama in 2008. In any case, Bishop is extremely vulnerable. With a pro-growth, job-centric platform — not to mention his own record of creating jobs — Randy Altschuler can draw a sharp contrast against Congressman Bishop, who is part of the Washington culture so loathed by voters. Indeed, congressional job approval is at historic lows.

Polling trends aside, it is perhaps the poor state of NY-1’s economy that most undermines Bishop’s re-election chances. The non-partisan analysis of the Long Island Association (LIA) makes plain the state of play: for the fifth straight month, Long Island has lost jobs. And over the last year, nearly 13,000 jobs have been lost in all — over 8,000 of which were in the private sector. Similarly, the housing market continues to struggle. Median home prices fell over 4% since last year, while the foreclosure crisis lingers. Consumers and businesses are burdened with higher taxes and inflation. Under these conditions, the Bishop campaign may find it difficult to gain traction with issues they deem more favorable.

The same can probably be said about NY-18 (Mark Rosen) and NY-23 (Matt Doheny, in another rematch). As they say, DEVELOPING…


2 thoughts on “Randy Altschuler’s 2nd Chance (or, Don’t Screw This Up Again Suffolk County)”

  1. Just who are YOU to say which primaries — the very basis of our democracy — are “ridiculous” and “unnecessary,” bud? We’re a century past the smoke-filled rooms of the corrupt Tammany Hall era, thank God. Well over half of Republican primary votes cast their ballots against Altschuler. The people are the ones who pick the candidates, not people on blogs. Primaries make strong candidates stronger and weed out the weak ones. This isn’t Iran where the Supreme Guide decides who can run for office and who can’t.

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